Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar15 | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB15 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB % change | C15 | C16 | C17 | C18 |
Fsq, EU MP | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 151200 | 163565 | 184261 | 186138 | 188159 | 13 | 54121 | 51165 | 59963 | 58261 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 151200 | 163565 | 186640 | 190998 | 191612 | 14 | 54121 | 49778 | 58161 | 59494 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 151200 | 163565 | 187263 | 197925 | 208266 | 14 | 54121 | 49259 | 51893 | 52784 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151200 | 163565 | 244123 | 330551 | 426079 | 49 | 54121 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 151200 | 163565 | 186796 | 197545 | 207874 | 14 | 54121 | 49647 | 51768 | 52693 |
Fsq, TAC15 -20% | 0.40 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 151200 | 163565 | 203741 | 241047 | 283854 | 25 | 54121 | 34093 | 33056 | 32558 |
Fsq, TAC15 -15% | 0.40 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 151200 | 163565 | 201332 | 235576 | 274439 | 23 | 54121 | 36226 | 35158 | 34651 |
Fsq, TAC15 -10% | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 151200 | 163565 | 198785 | 230297 | 265273 | 22 | 54121 | 38358 | 37256 | 36760 |
Fsq, TAC15 -5% | 0.40 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 151200 | 163565 | 196308 | 225052 | 257081 | 20 | 54121 | 40492 | 39360 | 38874 |
Fsq, TAC15 all years | 0.40 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 151200 | 163565 | 193984 | 219784 | 247892 | 19 | 54121 | 42625 | 41478 | 41004 |
Fsq, TAC15 +5% | 0.40 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 151200 | 163565 | 191717 | 214220 | 238973 | 17 | 54121 | 44761 | 43604 | 43133 |
Fsq, TAC15 +10% | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 151200 | 163565 | 189192 | 208542 | 229875 | 16 | 54121 | 46896 | 45730 | 45295 |
Fsq, TAC15 +15% | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 151200 | 163565 | 186562 | 203157 | 220957 | 14 | 54121 | 49030 | 47857 | 47476 |
Fsq, TAC15 +20% | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 151200 | 163565 | 184261 | 197625 | 212275 | 13 | 54121 | 51165 | 49990 | 49656 |
Fsq all years | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 151200 | 163565 | 177257 | 179683 | 182028 | 8 | 54121 | 58007 | 57509 | 56671 |