Table Xc. Forecasts (L and D without catch multiplier, and R) |
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Description\Variable | L16 | L17 | L18 | TAC % change | D16 | D17 | D18 | R16 | R17 | R18 |
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F2016=TAC, then Fmult=0.95 | 391 | 412 | 493 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy advice rule | 391 | 417 | 476 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy lower | 391 | 351 | 273 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy upper | 391 | 401 | 267 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy lower(AR) | 391 | 351 | 273 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy upper(AR) | 391 | 466 | 259 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, SSB2018 = Bpa | 391 | 649 | 687 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then zero catch | 391 | 0 | 0 | -100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.01 | 391 | 368 | 271 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.02 | 391 | 384 | 269 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.03 | 391 | 401 | 267 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.02 | 391 | 434 | 263 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.01 | 391 | 450 | 261 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then F2016 × 0.5 | 391 | 220 | 288 | -44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fsq (F2016) | 391 | 417 | 265 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy | 391 | 417 | 265 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC,then −15% TAC | 391 | 333 | 412 | -15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC,then 0% change TAC | 391 | 391 | 521 | -0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC,then +15% TAC | 391 | 450 | 506 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
F2016=TAC, then Flim | 391 | 551 | 248 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1915 | 1915 | 1915 |
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