Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | Fbar20 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C18 | C19 | C20 |
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Fstatus quo, then FMSY | 0.258 | 0.358 | 0.358 | 320838 | 344673 | 319880 | -7.193 | 100640 | 135035 | 128421 |
Fstatus quo, then zero catch | 0.258 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 320838 | 344673 | 459630 | 33.352 | 100640 | 0 | 0 |
Fstatus quo, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.258 | 0.403 | 0.403 | 320838 | 344673 | 305711 | -11.304 | 100640 | 148973 | 136491 |
Fstatus quo, then Flim | 0.258 | 0.564 | 0.564 | 320838 | 344673 | 260516 | -24.417 | 100640 | 194139 | 156459 |
Fstatus quo, then SSB2020 = Blim 107 000 | 0.258 | 1.492 | 1.492 | 320838 | 344673 | 107000 | -68.956 | 100640 | 355855 | 156594 |
Fstatus quo, then Bpa 150 000 | 0.258 | 1.131 | 1.131 | 320838 | 344673 | 150000 | -56.480 | 100640 | 308299 | 167484 |
Fstatus quo, then BTrigger 150 000 | 0.258 | 1.206 | 1.206 | 320838 | 344673 | 139672 | -59.477 | 100640 | 319476 | 165697 |
Fstatus quo, then F2018 | 0.258 | 0.258 | 0.258 | 320838 | 344673 | 353949 | 2.691 | 100640 | 101902 | 105164 |
Fstatus quo, then TAC 2018 | 0.258 | 0.299 | 0.299 | 320838 | 344673 | 339375 | -1.537 | 100640 | 116008 | 115719 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY lower (w Btrig) | 0.258 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 320838 | 344673 | 370401 | 7.464 | 100640 | 85912 | 92059 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY upper (curtailed to FP.05AR) | 0.258 | 0.492 | 0.492 | 320838 | 344673 | 280051 | -18.749 | 100640 | 174789 | 149083 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY lower (w/o Btrig) | 0.258 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 320838 | 344673 | 371491 | 7.781 | 100640 | 84822 | 91138 |
Fstatus quo, then F in 0.01 steps | 0.258 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 320838 | 344673 | 367775 | 6.702 | 100640 | 88447 | 94201 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 320838 | 344673 | 364088 | 5.633 | 100640 | 92041 | 97145 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 320838 | 344673 | 360448 | 4.577 | 100640 | 95594 | 100052 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 320838 | 344673 | 356786 | 3.514 | 100640 | 99112 | 102917 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 320838 | 344673 | 353222 | 2.480 | 100640 | 102596 | 105710 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 320838 | 344673 | 349626 | 1.437 | 100640 | 106047 | 108358 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 320838 | 344673 | 346127 | 0.422 | 100640 | 109471 | 110956 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 320838 | 344673 | 342617 | -0.597 | 100640 | 112861 | 113451 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 320838 | 344673 | 339152 | -1.602 | 100640 | 116219 | 115868 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 320838 | 344673 | 335768 | -2.584 | 100640 | 119539 | 118213 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 320838 | 344673 | 332361 | -3.572 | 100640 | 122827 | 120485 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 320838 | 344673 | 328982 | -4.553 | 100640 | 126078 | 122658 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 320838 | 344673 | 325641 | -5.522 | 100640 | 129306 | 124735 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 320838 | 344673 | 322422 | -6.456 | 100640 | 132501 | 126780 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 320838 | 344673 | 319248 | -7.377 | 100640 | 135666 | 128819 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 320838 | 344673 | 316091 | -8.292 | 100640 | 138811 | 130732 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 320838 | 344673 | 312937 | -9.208 | 100640 | 141928 | 132536 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 320838 | 344673 | 309746 | -10.133 | 100640 | 145012 | 134284 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 320838 | 344673 | 306653 | -11.031 | 100640 | 148065 | 136009 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 320838 | 344673 | 303548 | -11.932 | 100640 | 151081 | 137655 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 320838 | 344673 | 300580 | -12.793 | 100640 | 154068 | 139269 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 320838 | 344673 | 297640 | -13.646 | 100640 | 157027 | 140808 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 320838 | 344673 | 294727 | -14.491 | 100640 | 159963 | 142295 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 320838 | 344673 | 291869 | -15.320 | 100640 | 162872 | 143690 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 320838 | 344673 | 288980 | -16.158 | 100640 | 165755 | 144977 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 320838 | 344673 | 286183 | -16.970 | 100640 | 168604 | 146319 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.258 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 320838 | 344673 | 283357 | -17.790 | 100640 | 171431 | 147610 |
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