Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 |
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TAC constraint, then FMSY | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 242142 | 275259 | 276499 | 0 | 72048 | 115652 | 114759 |
TAC constraint, then paragraph 5 Mgmt Plan | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 242142 | 275259 | 307619 | 12 | 72048 | 83666 | 91395 |
TAC constraint, then Bpa | 0.24 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 242142 | 275259 | 169000 | -39 | 72048 | 225318 | 156087 |
TAC constraint, then Blim | 0.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 242142 | 275259 | 121000 | -56 | 72048 | 278546 | 155021 |
TAC constraint, then Btrigger | 0.24 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 242142 | 275259 | 170000 | -38 | 72048 | 224154 | 155975 |
TAC constraint, then zero catch | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 242142 | 275259 | 392161 | 42 | 72048 | 0 | 0 |
TAC constraint, then F2016 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 242142 | 275259 | 310588 | 13 | 72048 | 80667 | 88893 |
TAC constraint, TAC 2016 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 242142 | 275259 | 319027 | 16 | 72048 | 72374 | 71911 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 242142 | 275259 | 275540 | 0 | 72048 | 116730 | 115475 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (sigma) | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 242142 | 275259 | 273021 | -1 | 72048 | 119093 | 116973 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (wo AR) | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 242142 | 275259 | 321379 | 17 | 72048 | 70010 | 79248 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (w AR) | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 242142 | 275259 | 320459 | 16 | 72048 | 70940 | 80107 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy upper (w/wo AR) | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 242142 | 275259 | 275540 | 0 | 72048 | 116730 | 115475 |
TAC constraint, F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 242142 | 275259 | 319847 | 16 | 72048 | 71553 | 80644 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 242142 | 275259 | 316807 | 15 | 72048 | 74610 | 83365 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 242142 | 275259 | 313797 | 14 | 72048 | 77654 | 86176 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 242142 | 275259 | 310588 | 13 | 72048 | 80667 | 88893 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 242142 | 275259 | 307619 | 12 | 72048 | 83666 | 91395 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 242142 | 275259 | 304936 | 11 | 72048 | 86632 | 93817 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 242142 | 275259 | 301803 | 10 | 72048 | 89559 | 96120 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 242142 | 275259 | 299081 | 9 | 72048 | 92419 | 98341 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 242142 | 275259 | 296290 | 8 | 72048 | 95290 | 100570 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 242142 | 275259 | 293305 | 7 | 72048 | 98132 | 102765 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 242142 | 275259 | 290627 | 6 | 72048 | 100954 | 104849 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 242142 | 275259 | 288031 | 5 | 72048 | 103726 | 106888 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 242142 | 275259 | 285227 | 4 | 72048 | 106568 | 108850 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 242142 | 275259 | 282548 | 3 | 72048 | 109386 | 110719 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 242142 | 275259 | 279893 | 2 | 72048 | 112168 | 112622 |
F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 242142 | 275259 | 277221 | 1 | 72048 | 114850 | 114263 |
TAC constraint, then 5% over Fref | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 242142 | 275259 | 303366 | 10 | 72048 | 88112 | 94979 |
TAC constraint, then 25% over Fref | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 242142 | 275259 | 288684 | 5 | 72048 | 103037 | 106393 |
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