Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 | C19 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 13637 | 14328 | 13842 | 13397 | 13065 | -3 | 4211 | 5405 | 5148 | 5109 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 0.28 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 13637 | 14328 | 11192 | 9146 | 7828 | -22 | 4211 | 8885 | 6971 | 6154 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13637 | 14328 | 17959 | 21870 | 25949 | 25 | 4211 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then 50% | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 13637 | 14328 | 16199 | 18022 | 19754 | 13 | 4211 | 2281 | 2542 | 2805 |
Fsq, -20% catch | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 13637 | 14328 | 15184 | 16066 | 17101 | 6 | 4211 | 3617 | 3617 | 3617 |
Fsq all years | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 13637 | 14328 | 14688 | 14943 | 15232 | 3 | 4211 | 4299 | 4354 | 4478 |
Fsq, then F2016 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 13637 | 14328 | 14699 | 14960 | 15263 | 3 | 4211 | 4285 | 4343 | 4470 |
Fsq, +20% catch | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 13637 | 14328 | 13830 | 13166 | 12600 | -3 | 4211 | 5425 | 5425 | 5425 |
Fsq, then Flim | 0.28 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 13637 | 14328 | 9194 | 6476 | 4981 | -36 | 4211 | 11559 | 7635 | 6174 |
Fsq, then Bpa | 0.28 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 13637 | 14328 | 4143 | 1821 | 1290 | -71 | 4211 | 18755 | 6699 | 4227 |
Fsq, then MSY Btrigger | 0.28 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 13637 | 14328 | 4143 | 1821 | 1290 | -71 | 4211 | 18755 | 6699 | 4227 |
Fsq, then Blim | 0.28 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 13637 | 14328 | 3286 | 1324 | 1021 | -77 | 4211 | 20034 | 6126 | 3764 |
Fsq, Same catch | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 13637 | 14328 | 14527 | 14656 | 14819 | 1 | 4211 | 4521 | 4521 | 4521 |