Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar14 | Fbar15 | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | SSB14 | SSB15 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C14 | C15 | C16 | C17 |
Fsq, FMP LP | 0.40 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 70501 | 80569 | 109056 | 139018 | 165374 | 35 | 53133 | 35486 | 41380 | 48743 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 70501 | 80569 | 124697 | 165578 | 190603 | 55 | 53133 | 17220 | 35538 | 55972 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70501 | 80569 | 139663 | 217308 | 310135 | 73 | 53133 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.40 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 70501 | 80569 | 113135 | 146644 | 176502 | 40 | 53133 | 30710 | 38910 | 46518 |
Fsq, TAC14 -20% | 0.40 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 70501 | 80569 | 109056 | 113174 | 112185 | 35 | 53133 | 35486 | 71453 | 71251 |
Fsq, TAC14 rollover | 0.40 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 70501 | 80569 | 101725 | 127478 | 156768 | 26 | 53133 | 44433 | 43217 | 42551 |
Fsq, TAC14 +5% | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 70501 | 80569 | 99952 | 122999 | 148973 | 24 | 53133 | 46651 | 45433 | 44855 |
Fsq, TAC14 +10% | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 70501 | 80569 | 98158 | 118464 | 141387 | 22 | 53133 | 48897 | 47624 | 47127 |
Fsq, TAC14 +15% | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 70501 | 80569 | 96228 | 114127 | 134016 | 19 | 53133 | 51182 | 49861 | 49366 |
Fsq, TAC14 +20% | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 70501 | 80569 | 94348 | 109611 | 126287 | 17 | 53133 | 53444 | 52193 | 51855 |
Fsq all years | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 70501 | 80569 | 90155 | 96276 | 98846 | 12 | 53133 | 58501 | 61580 | 63802 |