Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals)

Description\Variable Fbar17 Fbar18 Fbar19 Fbar20 SSB17 SSB18 SSB19 SSB20 SSB21 SSB % change C17 C18 C19 C20

Fsq, EU MP0.376 0.400 0.400 0.400 152766 180990 180686 190716 182649 -0.168 51925 66225 68434 65567
Fsq, EU-Norway0.376 0.400 0.400 0.400 152766 180990 180686 190716 182649 -0.168 51925 66225 68434 65567
Fsq, Fmsy HCR0.376 0.310 0.310 0.310 152766 180990 193248 218002 220938 6.773 51925 53058 58702 60074
Fsq, zero catch0.376 0.000 0.000 0.000 152766 180990 244926 357294 452544 35.326 51925 0 0 0
Fsq, Fmsy0.376 0.310 0.310 0.310 152766 180990 193248 218002 220938 6.773 51925 53058 58702 60074
Fsq, Fpa0.376 0.390 0.390 0.390 152766 180990 182038 193578 186702 0.579 51925 64804 67452 65059
Fsq, Flim0.376 0.540 0.540 0.540 152766 180990 162901 154653 138107 -9.994 51925 85121 79354 69389
Fsq, SSB2019=Blim0.376 1.150 1.150 1.150 152766 180990 107000 71101 53120 -40.880 51925 148238 90408 60903
Fsq, SSB2019=Bpa0.376 0.656 0.656 0.656 152766 180990 150000 131481 111026 -17.122 51925 99187 85311 69661
Fsq, SSB2019=Btrigger0.376 0.656 0.656 0.656 152766 180990 150000 131481 111026 -17.122 51925 99187 85311 69661
Fsq, TAC17 -20%0.376 0.329 0.268 0.224 152766 180990 190195 223339 242094 5.086 51925 55919 50845 45744
Fsq, TAC17 -15%0.376 0.353 0.293 0.250 152766 180990 186777 215241 229271 3.198 51925 59455 54126 48846
Fsq, TAC17 -10%0.376 0.377 0.320 0.279 152766 180990 183393 207067 215462 1.328 51925 62998 57461 51973
Fsq, TAC17 -5%0.376 0.402 0.349 0.313 152766 180990 179881 198369 202308 -0.613 51925 66545 60794 55192
Fsq, TAC17 all years0.376 0.427 0.380 0.350 152766 180990 176460 190346 189273 -2.503 51925 70095 64145 58446
Fsq, TAC17 +5%0.376 0.453 0.414 0.393 152766 180990 173105 182060 175589 -4.356 51925 73650 67497 61807
Fsq, TAC17 +10%0.376 0.479 0.449 0.442 152766 180990 169665 173953 162995 -6.257 51925 77207 70875 65207
Fsq, TAC17 +15%0.376 0.506 0.487 0.497 152766 180990 166176 165580 149657 -8.185 51925 80783 74326 68760
Fsq, TAC17 +20%0.376 0.533 0.529 0.563 152766 180990 162761 156931 136738 -10.072 51925 84378 77789 72473
Fsq all years0.376 0.376 0.376 0.376 152766 180990 183927 197546 192044 1.623 51925 62830 66054 64341
Fsq, 0.200.376 0.200 0.200 0.200 152766 180990 210118 258341 281560 16.094 51925 35631 43105 47656
Fsq, 0.210.376 0.210 0.210 0.210 152766 180990 208456 254151 275378 15.176 51925 37276 44724 49101
Fsq, 0.220.376 0.220 0.220 0.220 152766 180990 206782 250245 268901 14.251 51925 38906 46330 50521
Fsq, 0.230.376 0.230 0.230 0.230 152766 180990 205195 246591 262894 13.374 51925 40535 47824 51852
Fsq, 0.240.376 0.240 0.240 0.240 152766 180990 203634 242691 257022 12.512 51925 42142 49301 53066
Fsq, 0.250.376 0.250 0.250 0.250 152766 180990 202120 238954 251680 11.675 51925 43745 50765 54216
Fsq, 0.260.376 0.260 0.260 0.260 152766 180990 200680 235479 246418 10.879 51925 45329 52193 55342
Fsq, 0.270.376 0.270 0.270 0.270 152766 180990 199255 231814 241197 10.092 51925 46893 53559 56421
Fsq, 0.280.376 0.280 0.280 0.280 152766 180990 197825 228081 236161 9.302 51925 48444 54857 57345
Fsq, 0.290.376 0.290 0.290 0.290 152766 180990 196317 224630 230901 8.469 51925 49986 56156 58309
Fsq, 0.300.376 0.300 0.300 0.300 152766 180990 194773 221228 225801 7.616 51925 51535 57435 59205
Fsq, 0.310.376 0.310 0.310 0.310 152766 180990 193248 218002 220938 6.773 51925 53058 58702 60074
Fsq, 0.320.376 0.320 0.320 0.320 152766 180990 191828 214798 216247 5.988 51925 54564 59928 60905
Fsq, 0.330.376 0.330 0.330 0.330 152766 180990 190384 211505 211817 5.190 51925 56057 61117 61580
Fsq, 0.340.376 0.340 0.340 0.340 152766 180990 188920 208417 207068 4.382 51925 57539 62255 62233
Fsq, 0.350.376 0.350 0.350 0.350 152766 180990 187486 205206 202626 3.589 51925 59018 63361 62846
Fsq, 0.360.376 0.360 0.360 0.360 152766 180990 186096 202169 198502 2.821 51925 60476 64391 63422
Fsq, 0.370.376 0.370 0.370 0.370 152766 180990 184749 199247 194391 2.077 51925 61923 65412 64012
Fsq, 0.380.376 0.380 0.380 0.380 152766 180990 183423 196499 190634 1.345 51925 63368 66439 64530
Fsq, 0.390.376 0.390 0.390 0.390 152766 180990 182038 193578 186702 0.579 51925 64804 67452 65059
Fsq, 0.400.376 0.400 0.400 0.400 152766 180990 180686 190716 182649 -0.168 51925 66225 68434 65567
Fsq, 0.410.376 0.410 0.410 0.410 152766 180990 179298 187926 178946 -0.934 51925 67622 69359 66067
Fsq, 0.420.376 0.420 0.420 0.420 152766 180990 177932 185206 175432 -1.690 51925 69008 70261 66563
Fsq, 0.430.376 0.430 0.430 0.430 152766 180990 176562 182473 171913 -2.446 51925 70403 71174 67017
Fsq, 0.440.376 0.440 0.440 0.440 152766 180990 175213 179770 168433 -3.192 51925 71788 72072 67354
Fsq, 0.450.376 0.450 0.450 0.450 152766 180990 173947 177142 164810 -3.891 51925 73163 72957 67637
Fsq, 0.460.376 0.460 0.460 0.460 152766 180990 172838 174464 161520 -4.504 51925 74528 73812 67958