Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | Fbar20 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB21 | SSB % change | C17 | C18 | C19 | C20 |
Fsq, EU MP | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 152550 | 159676 | 153191 | 148796 | 146938 | -4 | 49677 | 52832 | 49786 | 49697 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 152550 | 159676 | 153191 | 148796 | 146938 | -4 | 49677 | 52832 | 49786 | 49697 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 152550 | 159676 | 164073 | 168244 | 174249 | 3 | 49677 | 42363 | 42607 | 44610 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152550 | 159676 | 210542 | 266027 | 330706 | 32 | 49677 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 152550 | 159676 | 164073 | 168244 | 174249 | 3 | 49677 | 42363 | 42607 | 44610 |
Fsq, Fpa | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 152550 | 159676 | 154367 | 150773 | 149647 | -3 | 49677 | 51710 | 49060 | 49260 |
Fsq, Flim | 0.35 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 152550 | 159676 | 137768 | 123632 | 114943 | -14 | 49677 | 67683 | 57943 | 53833 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Blim | 0.35 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 152550 | 159676 | 107000 | 81547 | 68006 | -33 | 49677 | 98063 | 67065 | 54813 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Bpa | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 152550 | 159676 | 150000 | 143215 | 139707 | -6 | 49677 | 55888 | 51684 | 50885 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Btrigger | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 152550 | 159676 | 150000 | 143215 | 139707 | -6 | 49677 | 55888 | 51684 | 50885 |
Fsq, TAC17 -20% | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 152550 | 159676 | 159016 | 155916 | 154735 | -0 | 49677 | 47042 | 48808 | 48799 |
Fsq, TAC17 -15% | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 152550 | 159676 | 155857 | 148714 | 143437 | -2 | 49677 | 50015 | 52030 | 52334 |
Fsq, TAC17 -10% | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 152550 | 159676 | 152671 | 142138 | 132279 | -4 | 49677 | 52988 | 55259 | 55998 |
Fsq, TAC17 -5% | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 152550 | 159676 | 149413 | 135291 | 121702 | -6 | 49677 | 55961 | 58565 | 59703 |
Fsq, TAC17 all years | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 152550 | 159676 | 146327 | 128497 | 110159 | -8 | 49677 | 58941 | 61890 | 63475 |
Fsq, TAC17 +5% | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.60 | 0.75 | 152550 | 159676 | 143192 | 121640 | 98199 | -10 | 49677 | 61922 | 65272 | 67574 |
Fsq, TAC17 +10% | 0.35 | 0.51 | 0.66 | 0.87 | 152550 | 159676 | 140095 | 114715 | 87063 | -12 | 49677 | 64908 | 68731 | 71868 |
Fsq, TAC17 +15% | 0.35 | 0.54 | 0.72 | 1.02 | 152550 | 159676 | 136978 | 107893 | 75742 | -14 | 49677 | 67899 | 72229 | 76373 |
Fsq, TAC17 +20% | 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 1.22 | 152550 | 159676 | 133893 | 101474 | 64134 | -16 | 49677 | 70898 | 75741 | 81237 |
Fsq all years | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 152550 | 159676 | 158698 | 158528 | 160423 | -1 | 49677 | 47447 | 46253 | 47327 |