Table Xc. Forecasts (L and D without catch multiplier, and R) | |||||||||||||
Description\Variable | L17 | L18 | L19 | L20 | TAC % change | D17 | D18 | D19 | D20 | R17 | R18 | R19 | R20 |
Fsq, EU MP | 41939 | 51393 | 56353 | 58283 | 9.294 | 13268 | 23355 | 19446 | 13406 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 41939 | 51393 | 56353 | 58283 | 9.294 | 13268 | 23355 | 19446 | 13406 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 41939 | 41309 | 48963 | 54479 | -12.152 | 13268 | 18579 | 15987 | 11261 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, zero catch | 41939 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -100.000 | 13268 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 41939 | 41309 | 48963 | 54479 | -12.152 | 13268 | 18579 | 15987 | 11261 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, Fpa | 41939 | 50297 | 55665 | 58058 | 6.963 | 13268 | 22836 | 19081 | 13226 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, Flim | 41939 | 65753 | 64202 | 59178 | 39.832 | 13268 | 30210 | 23112 | 16143 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Blim | 41939 | 119859 | 64827 | 37665 | 154.894 | 13268 | 58977 | 31786 | 23212 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Bpa | 41939 | 88465 | 69584 | 53460 | 88.132 | 13268 | 41720 | 27750 | 19718 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, SSB2019=Btrigger | 41939 | 88465 | 69584 | 53460 | 88.132 | 13268 | 41720 | 27750 | 19718 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 -20% | 41939 | 37618 | 37618 | 37618 | -20.001 | 13268 | 17517 | 12397 | 7089 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 -15% | 41939 | 39970 | 39970 | 39970 | -14.999 | 13268 | 18643 | 13268 | 7708 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 -10% | 41939 | 42321 | 42321 | 42321 | -9.999 | 13268 | 19768 | 14129 | 8350 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 -5% | 41939 | 44672 | 44672 | 44672 | -4.999 | 13268 | 20895 | 15021 | 9027 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 all years | 41939 | 47023 | 47023 | 47023 | 0.000 | 13268 | 22023 | 15921 | 9748 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 +5% | 41939 | 49374 | 49374 | 49374 | 5.000 | 13268 | 23156 | 16832 | 10516 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 +10% | 41939 | 51725 | 51725 | 51725 | 10.000 | 13268 | 24293 | 17741 | 11289 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 +15% | 41939 | 54076 | 54076 | 54076 | 14.999 | 13268 | 25432 | 18685 | 12133 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, TAC17 +20% | 41939 | 56428 | 56428 | 56428 | 20.001 | 13268 | 26582 | 19645 | 13065 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq all years | 41939 | 46061 | 52790 | 56786 | -2.047 | 13268 | 20839 | 17519 | 12283 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.20 | 41939 | 27842 | 36254 | 44407 | -40.790 | 13268 | 12438 | 11431 | 8142 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.21 | 41939 | 29109 | 37582 | 45649 | -38.096 | 13268 | 13012 | 11845 | 8505 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.22 | 41939 | 30375 | 38875 | 46769 | -35.405 | 13268 | 13570 | 12266 | 8891 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.23 | 41939 | 31634 | 40119 | 47833 | -32.727 | 13268 | 14106 | 12746 | 9169 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.24 | 41939 | 32883 | 41369 | 48874 | -30.070 | 13268 | 14650 | 13131 | 9486 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.25 | 41939 | 34123 | 42542 | 49863 | -27.433 | 13268 | 15215 | 13594 | 9671 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.26 | 41939 | 35346 | 43702 | 50810 | -24.832 | 13268 | 15789 | 14020 | 9924 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.27 | 41939 | 36551 | 44840 | 51683 | -22.270 | 13268 | 16344 | 14447 | 10163 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.28 | 41939 | 37752 | 45902 | 52570 | -19.715 | 13268 | 16912 | 14877 | 10400 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.29 | 41939 | 38955 | 46987 | 53236 | -17.158 | 13268 | 17467 | 15226 | 10680 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.30 | 41939 | 40136 | 47976 | 53924 | -14.646 | 13268 | 18028 | 15645 | 10864 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.31 | 41939 | 41309 | 48963 | 54479 | -12.152 | 13268 | 18579 | 15987 | 11261 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.32 | 41939 | 42448 | 49934 | 55105 | -9.729 | 13268 | 19147 | 16343 | 11581 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.33 | 41939 | 43597 | 50874 | 55705 | -7.285 | 13268 | 19685 | 16715 | 11798 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.34 | 41939 | 44749 | 51771 | 56277 | -4.836 | 13268 | 20212 | 17134 | 11963 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.35 | 41939 | 45878 | 52653 | 56712 | -2.434 | 13268 | 20755 | 17457 | 12241 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.36 | 41939 | 47005 | 53470 | 57095 | -0.039 | 13268 | 21271 | 17862 | 12571 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.37 | 41939 | 48115 | 54215 | 57496 | 2.321 | 13268 | 21779 | 18317 | 12705 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.38 | 41939 | 49214 | 54961 | 57787 | 4.659 | 13268 | 22297 | 18696 | 12947 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.39 | 41939 | 50297 | 55665 | 58058 | 6.963 | 13268 | 22836 | 19081 | 13226 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.40 | 41939 | 51393 | 56353 | 58283 | 9.294 | 13268 | 23355 | 19446 | 13406 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.41 | 41939 | 52483 | 57025 | 58582 | 11.611 | 13268 | 23868 | 19804 | 13468 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.42 | 41939 | 53564 | 57709 | 58816 | 13.911 | 13268 | 24368 | 20107 | 13536 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.43 | 41939 | 54638 | 58366 | 58937 | 16.193 | 13268 | 24864 | 20451 | 13804 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.44 | 41939 | 55698 | 58990 | 59028 | 18.448 | 13268 | 25366 | 20784 | 14164 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.45 | 41939 | 56730 | 59553 | 59042 | 20.644 | 13268 | 25874 | 21169 | 14518 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.46 | 41939 | 57763 | 60150 | 59101 | 22.841 | 13268 | 26383 | 21434 | 14670 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.47 | 41939 | 58796 | 60708 | 59151 | 25.036 | 13268 | 26882 | 21702 | 14886 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |
Fsq, 0.48 | 41939 | 59820 | 61262 | 59245 | 27.214 | 13268 | 27363 | 21920 | 15023 | 692194 | 198216 | 195243 | 195243 |