Table X0. Forecasts with probability of SSB PA ref points | |||||
Description\Variable | C 2015 | Fbar 2015 | SSB 2016 | % prob(SSB bl. Blim) | 5% percentile of SSB |
Management plan F=0.18 | 839886 | 0.18 | 5904242 | 0.0 | 5904242 |
F=0.19 | 882497 | 0.19 | 5864151 | 0.0 | 5864151 |
F=0.20 | 924713 | 0.20 | 5824446 | 0.0 | 5824446 |
F=0.21 | 966538 | 0.21 | 5785123 | 0.0 | 5785123 |
F=0.22 | 1007975 | 0.22 | 5746177 | 0.0 | 5746177 |
F=0.23 | 1049030 | 0.23 | 5707604 | 0.0 | 5707604 |
F=0.24 | 1089705 | 0.24 | 5669400 | 0.0 | 5669400 |
F=0.25 | 1130007 | 0.25 | 5631561 | 0.0 | 5631561 |
F=0.26 | 1169938 | 0.26 | 5594083 | 0.0 | 5594083 |
F=0.27 | 1209502 | 0.27 | 5556961 | 0.0 | 5556961 |
F=0.22 | 1248704 | 0.28 | 5520193 | 0.0 | 5520193 |
F=0.29 | 1287547 | 0.29 | 5483774 | 0.0 | 5483774 |
F=0.30 | 1326035 | 0.30 | 5447701 | 0.0 | 5447701 |
F=0.31 | 1364173 | 0.31 | 5411968 | 0.0 | 5411968 |
Fpa 0.32 | 1401963 | 0.32 | 5376574 | 0.0 | 5376574 |
Flim 0.48 | 1962330 | 0.48 | 4853303 | 0.0 | 4853303 |
MSY framework 0.30 | 1326035 | 0.30 | 5447701 | 0.0 | 5447701 |
Zero catch | 51 | 0.00 | 6696989 | 0.0 | 6696989 |
0.50*F(2014) | 650489 | 0.14 | 6082598 | 0.0 | 6082598 |
1.00*F(2014) | 1222488 | 0.27 | 5544780 | 0.0 | 5544780 |
1.50*F(2014) | 1726900 | 0.41 | 5072776 | 0.0 | 5072776 |
2.00*F(2014) | 2173016 | 0.55 | 4657393 | 0.0 | 4657393 |