Table Xb. Forecasts (split in landings and discards) | ||||||||||||
Description\Variable | L15 | L16 | L17 | L18 | D15 | D16 | D17 | D18 | Fbar15(L) | Fbar16(L) | Fbar17(L) | Fbar18(L) |
Fsq all years | 2016 | 1968 | 2100 | 2346 | 1966 | 1829 | 1889 | 2066 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 2016 | 3558 | 3320 | 3431 | 1966 | 3279 | 3017 | 3055 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
Fsq, then Fmsy lower | 2016 | 2130 | 2246 | 2493 | 1966 | 1982 | 2020 | 2180 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
Fsq, then Fmsy upper | 2016 | 5416 | 4311 | 3961 | 1966 | 4990 | 3914 | 3626 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 2016 | 5674 | 4410 | 3979 | 1966 | 5230 | 4018 | 3664 | 0.08 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1966 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Fsq, then 50% | 2016 | 1029 | 1170 | 1382 | 1966 | 961 | 1059 | 1201 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Fsq, -15% Advice L | 2016 | 3426 | 3426 | 3426 | 1966 | 3160 | 3110 | 3047 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
Fsq, +15% Advice L | 2016 | 4636 | 4636 | 4636 | 1966 | 4286 | 4216 | 4209 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.32 |
Fsq, then old advice L | 2016 | 4031 | 4031 | 4031 | 1966 | 3726 | 3673 | 3611 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.22 |