Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 |
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TAC constraint, then FMSY | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 239561 | 277948 | 278294 | 0 | 72442 | 116605 | 116958 |
TAC constraint, then F2016 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 239561 | 277948 | 311578 | 12 | 72442 | 81833 | 90002 |
TAC constraint, then Flim | 0.24 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 239561 | 277948 | 229799 | -17 | 72442 | 167792 | 145231 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 239561 | 277948 | 267579 | -4 | 72442 | 128157 | 124414 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (sigma) | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 239561 | 277948 | 268782 | -3 | 72442 | 126836 | 123588 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (w AR) | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 239561 | 277948 | 319442 | 15 | 72442 | 73497 | 82399 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy upper (w AR) | 0.24 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 239561 | 277948 | 246040 | -11 | 72442 | 150737 | 137502 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2018 = Blim 107 000 | 0.24 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 239561 | 277948 | 107000 | -62 | 72442 | 304748 | 155460 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2018 = Bpa 150 000 | 0.24 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 239561 | 277948 | 150000 | -46 | 72442 | 255135 | 161421 |
TAC constraint, then paragraph 5 Mgmt Plan | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 239561 | 277948 | 310717 | 12 | 72442 | 82747 | 90807 |
TAC constraint, then zero catch | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 239561 | 277948 | 390077 | 40 | 72442 | 0 | 0 |
TAC constraint, TAC 2016 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 239561 | 277948 | 321351 | 16 | 72442 | 72171 | 71869 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (wo AR) | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 239561 | 277948 | 320329 | 15 | 72442 | 72559 | 81549 |
TAC constraint, then F in 0.01 steps | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 239561 | 277948 | 317383 | 14 | 72442 | 75678 | 84402 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 239561 | 277948 | 314466 | 13 | 72442 | 78769 | 87239 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 239561 | 277948 | 311578 | 12 | 72442 | 81833 | 90002 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 239561 | 277948 | 308717 | 11 | 72442 | 84869 | 92627 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 239561 | 277948 | 305884 | 10 | 72442 | 87877 | 95160 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 239561 | 277948 | 303073 | 9 | 72442 | 90859 | 97676 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 239561 | 277948 | 300222 | 8 | 72442 | 93830 | 100137 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 239561 | 277948 | 297377 | 7 | 72442 | 96777 | 102455 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 239561 | 277948 | 294542 | 6 | 72442 | 99699 | 104713 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 239561 | 277948 | 291762 | 5 | 72442 | 102597 | 106897 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 239561 | 277948 | 289031 | 4 | 72442 | 105450 | 108986 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 239561 | 277948 | 286287 | 3 | 72442 | 108276 | 111048 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 239561 | 277948 | 283557 | 2 | 72442 | 111078 | 113074 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 239561 | 277948 | 280912 | 1 | 72442 | 113854 | 115055 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 239561 | 277948 | 278294 | 0 | 72442 | 116605 | 116958 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 239561 | 277948 | 275701 | -1 | 72442 | 119331 | 118793 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 239561 | 277948 | 273161 | -2 | 72442 | 122033 | 120566 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 239561 | 277948 | 270719 | -3 | 72442 | 124711 | 122284 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 239561 | 277948 | 268300 | -3 | 72442 | 127365 | 123920 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 239561 | 277948 | 265886 | -4 | 72442 | 129995 | 125548 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 239561 | 277948 | 263414 | -5 | 72442 | 132602 | 127180 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 239561 | 277948 | 260899 | -6 | 72442 | 135185 | 128757 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 239561 | 277948 | 258408 | -7 | 72442 | 137745 | 130364 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 239561 | 277948 | 255942 | -8 | 72442 | 140290 | 131823 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 239561 | 277948 | 253500 | -9 | 72442 | 142812 | 133260 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 239561 | 277948 | 251113 | -10 | 72442 | 145313 | 134625 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 239561 | 277948 | 248794 | -10 | 72442 | 147791 | 135942 |
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