Table Xc. Forecasts (L and D without catch multiplier, and R) | |||||||||||||
Description\Variable | L16 | L17 | L18 | L19 | TAC % change | D16 | D17 | D18 | D19 | R16 | R17 | R18 | R19 |
Fsq, EU MP | 44645 | 45004 | 43475 | 41253 | 11 | 11459 | 10104 | 11160 | 10877 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 44645 | 38013 | 45319 | 42921 | -6 | 11459 | 8448 | 10925 | 10870 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 44645 | 38927 | 38721 | 38279 | -4 | 11459 | 8667 | 9622 | 9440 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, zero catch | 44645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -100 | 11459 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 44645 | 38927 | 38721 | 38279 | -4 | 11459 | 8667 | 9622 | 9440 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -20% | 44645 | 32335 | 32335 | 32335 | -20 | 11459 | 7252 | 7584 | 7676 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -15% | 44645 | 34356 | 34356 | 34356 | -15 | 11459 | 7718 | 8126 | 8280 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -10% | 44645 | 36377 | 36377 | 36377 | -10 | 11459 | 8184 | 8685 | 8908 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -5% | 44645 | 38398 | 38398 | 38398 | -5 | 11459 | 8652 | 9244 | 9563 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 all years | 44645 | 40419 | 40419 | 40419 | 0 | 11459 | 9120 | 9818 | 10274 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +5% | 44645 | 42440 | 42440 | 42440 | 5 | 11459 | 9593 | 10431 | 11017 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +10% | 44645 | 44461 | 44461 | 44461 | 10 | 11459 | 10067 | 11046 | 11776 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +15% | 44645 | 46482 | 46482 | 46482 | 15 | 11459 | 10540 | 11669 | 12544 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +20% | 44645 | 48503 | 48503 | 48503 | 20 | 11459 | 11015 | 12282 | 13408 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq all years | 44645 | 44113 | 42097 | 40396 | 9 | 11459 | 9886 | 10777 | 10543 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0 | 44645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -100 | 11459 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.01 | 44645 | 1351 | 1744 | 2117 | -97 | 11459 | 294 | 369 | 409 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.02 | 44645 | 2690 | 3445 | 4150 | -93 | 11459 | 586 | 728 | 811 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.03 | 44645 | 4017 | 5101 | 6103 | -90 | 11459 | 877 | 1090 | 1207 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.04 | 44645 | 5335 | 6713 | 7981 | -87 | 11459 | 1164 | 1444 | 1585 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.05 | 44645 | 6640 | 8291 | 9789 | -84 | 11459 | 1449 | 1781 | 1936 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.06 | 44645 | 7932 | 9824 | 11512 | -80 | 11459 | 1735 | 2107 | 2292 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.07 | 44645 | 9215 | 11316 | 13174 | -77 | 11459 | 2013 | 2442 | 2655 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.08 | 44645 | 10487 | 12772 | 14766 | -74 | 11459 | 2291 | 2765 | 3000 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.09 | 44645 | 11749 | 14186 | 16297 | -71 | 11459 | 2564 | 3098 | 3325 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.10 | 44645 | 12997 | 15552 | 17780 | -68 | 11459 | 2838 | 3432 | 3653 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.11 | 44645 | 14237 | 16893 | 19172 | -65 | 11459 | 3113 | 3754 | 4009 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.12 | 44645 | 15465 | 18196 | 20529 | -62 | 11459 | 3389 | 4077 | 4343 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.13 | 44645 | 16680 | 19454 | 21814 | -59 | 11459 | 3661 | 4373 | 4642 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.14 | 44645 | 17887 | 20694 | 23031 | -56 | 11459 | 3929 | 4677 | 4959 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.15 | 44645 | 19083 | 21901 | 24199 | -53 | 11459 | 4192 | 4956 | 5269 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.16 | 44645 | 20269 | 23084 | 25319 | -50 | 11459 | 4453 | 5237 | 5532 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.17 | 44645 | 21444 | 24225 | 26400 | -47 | 11459 | 4712 | 5530 | 5779 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.18 | 44645 | 22607 | 25328 | 27462 | -44 | 11459 | 4968 | 5835 | 6058 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.19 | 44645 | 23758 | 26395 | 28442 | -41 | 11459 | 5226 | 6143 | 6332 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.20 | 44645 | 24903 | 27444 | 29396 | -38 | 11459 | 5478 | 6429 | 6604 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.21 | 44645 | 26038 | 28460 | 30290 | -36 | 11459 | 5732 | 6686 | 6896 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.22 | 44645 | 27165 | 29458 | 31141 | -33 | 11459 | 5990 | 6920 | 7135 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.23 | 44645 | 28283 | 30442 | 31960 | -30 | 11459 | 6239 | 7155 | 7351 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.24 | 44645 | 29390 | 31387 | 32699 | -27 | 11459 | 6485 | 7423 | 7637 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.25 | 44645 | 30486 | 32295 | 33440 | -25 | 11459 | 6728 | 7675 | 7875 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.26 | 44645 | 31569 | 33201 | 34182 | -22 | 11459 | 6995 | 7900 | 8092 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.27 | 44645 | 32651 | 34075 | 34829 | -19 | 11459 | 7243 | 8142 | 8409 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.28 | 44645 | 33719 | 34904 | 35506 | -17 | 11459 | 7483 | 8391 | 8559 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.29 | 44645 | 34773 | 35690 | 36101 | -14 | 11459 | 7727 | 8656 | 8722 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.30 | 44645 | 35825 | 36476 | 36700 | -11 | 11459 | 7961 | 8915 | 8925 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.31 | 44645 | 36878 | 37230 | 37215 | -9 | 11459 | 8189 | 9172 | 9137 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.32 | 44645 | 37911 | 37990 | 37765 | -6 | 11459 | 8425 | 9408 | 9313 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.33 | 44645 | 38927 | 38721 | 38279 | -4 | 11459 | 8667 | 9622 | 9440 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.34 | 44645 | 39941 | 39416 | 38727 | -1 | 11459 | 8898 | 9839 | 9681 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.35 | 44645 | 40954 | 40070 | 39126 | 1 | 11459 | 9129 | 10047 | 9875 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.36 | 44645 | 41957 | 40738 | 39539 | 4 | 11459 | 9376 | 10272 | 10118 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.37 | 44645 | 42945 | 41378 | 39925 | 6 | 11459 | 9623 | 10514 | 10334 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.38 | 44645 | 43932 | 41984 | 40326 | 9 | 11459 | 9847 | 10741 | 10512 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.39 | 44645 | 44907 | 42599 | 40700 | 11 | 11459 | 10080 | 10917 | 10675 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.40 | 44645 | 45871 | 43162 | 41026 | 13 | 11459 | 10298 | 11103 | 10852 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.41 | 44645 | 46826 | 43734 | 41325 | 16 | 11459 | 10524 | 11279 | 11021 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.42 | 44645 | 47789 | 44251 | 41619 | 18 | 11459 | 10733 | 11505 | 11168 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.43 | 44645 | 48729 | 44761 | 41910 | 21 | 11459 | 10961 | 11697 | 11335 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.44 | 44645 | 49656 | 45276 | 42128 | 23 | 11459 | 11199 | 11865 | 11453 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.45 | 44645 | 50583 | 45788 | 42359 | 25 | 11459 | 11429 | 12052 | 11565 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.46 | 44645 | 51518 | 46282 | 42603 | 27 | 11459 | 11627 | 12214 | 11655 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.47 | 44645 | 52441 | 46752 | 42760 | 30 | 11459 | 11841 | 12397 | 11941 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.48 | 44645 | 53341 | 47203 | 42889 | 32 | 11459 | 12066 | 12575 | 12172 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.49 | 44645 | 54227 | 47603 | 42991 | 34 | 11459 | 12295 | 12783 | 12352 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.50 | 44645 | 55112 | 48016 | 43157 | 36 | 11459 | 12512 | 12928 | 12472 | 198909 | 202134 | 198909 | 196025 |