Table Xc. Forecasts (L and D without catch multiplier, and R) | |||||||||||||
Description\Variable | L16 | L17 | L18 | L19 | TAC % change | D16 | D17 | D18 | D19 | R16 | R17 | R18 | R19 |
Fsq, EU MP | 44837 | 45612 | 42900 | 39989 | 13 | 11465 | 10347 | 10276 | 11098 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 44837 | 44091 | 43466 | 40319 | 9 | 11465 | 9955 | 10340 | 11222 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 44837 | 38691 | 38465 | 37311 | -4 | 11465 | 8740 | 8896 | 9844 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, zero catch | 44837 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -100 | 11465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 44837 | 38691 | 38465 | 37311 | -4 | 11465 | 8740 | 8896 | 9844 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, Fpa | 44837 | 46551 | 43421 | 40320 | 15 | 11465 | 10589 | 10474 | 11221 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, Flim | 44837 | 61629 | 50331 | 43092 | 52 | 11465 | 14181 | 13318 | 13516 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Blim | 44837 | 87011 | 54797 | 40803 | 115 | 11465 | 20390 | 17291 | 16175 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Bpa | 44837 | 51839 | 46163 | 41770 | 28 | 11465 | 11814 | 11714 | 12163 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Btrigger | 44837 | 51839 | 46163 | 41770 | 28 | 11465 | 11814 | 11714 | 12163 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -20% | 44837 | 32335 | 32335 | 32335 | -20 | 11465 | 7183 | 7560 | 7708 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -15% | 44837 | 34356 | 34356 | 34356 | -15 | 11465 | 7639 | 8100 | 8334 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -10% | 44837 | 36377 | 36377 | 36377 | -10 | 11465 | 8101 | 8649 | 8997 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 -5% | 44837 | 38398 | 38398 | 38398 | -5 | 11465 | 8564 | 9218 | 9678 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 all years | 44837 | 40419 | 40419 | 40419 | 0 | 11465 | 9035 | 9795 | 10395 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +5% | 44837 | 42440 | 42440 | 42440 | 5 | 11465 | 9499 | 10371 | 11136 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +10% | 44837 | 44461 | 44461 | 44461 | 10 | 11465 | 9964 | 10983 | 11914 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +15% | 44837 | 46482 | 46482 | 46482 | 15 | 11465 | 10432 | 11602 | 12751 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, TAC16 +20% | 44837 | 48503 | 48503 | 48503 | 20 | 11465 | 10907 | 12218 | 13607 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq all years | 44837 | 44226 | 42063 | 39461 | 9 | 11465 | 9988 | 10002 | 10946 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0 | 44837 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -100 | 11465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.01 | 44837 | 1340 | 1737 | 2075 | -97 | 11465 | 296 | 360 | 409 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.02 | 44837 | 2668 | 3430 | 4066 | -93 | 11465 | 590 | 715 | 813 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.03 | 44837 | 3983 | 5080 | 5985 | -90 | 11465 | 883 | 1065 | 1204 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.04 | 44837 | 5285 | 6688 | 7828 | -87 | 11465 | 1173 | 1397 | 1576 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.05 | 44837 | 6581 | 8255 | 9597 | -84 | 11465 | 1458 | 1722 | 1948 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.06 | 44837 | 7868 | 9775 | 11297 | -81 | 11465 | 1737 | 2044 | 2300 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.07 | 44837 | 9144 | 11260 | 12923 | -77 | 11465 | 2015 | 2356 | 2656 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.08 | 44837 | 10405 | 12708 | 14468 | -74 | 11465 | 2294 | 2657 | 3010 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.09 | 44837 | 11655 | 14120 | 15962 | -71 | 11465 | 2571 | 2954 | 3363 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.10 | 44837 | 12895 | 15474 | 17415 | -68 | 11465 | 2845 | 3287 | 3681 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.11 | 44837 | 14122 | 16792 | 18781 | -65 | 11465 | 3123 | 3612 | 3988 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.12 | 44837 | 15338 | 18078 | 20091 | -62 | 11465 | 3399 | 3929 | 4303 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.13 | 44837 | 16550 | 19342 | 21366 | -59 | 11465 | 3669 | 4218 | 4608 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.14 | 44837 | 17745 | 20563 | 22576 | -56 | 11465 | 3942 | 4503 | 4917 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.15 | 44837 | 18934 | 21748 | 23731 | -53 | 11465 | 4216 | 4802 | 5194 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.16 | 44837 | 20116 | 22910 | 24848 | -50 | 11465 | 4476 | 5059 | 5486 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.17 | 44837 | 21285 | 24031 | 25901 | -47 | 11465 | 4738 | 5351 | 5791 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.18 | 44837 | 22442 | 25125 | 26870 | -44 | 11465 | 4995 | 5621 | 6146 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.19 | 44837 | 23591 | 26210 | 27845 | -42 | 11465 | 5254 | 5877 | 6380 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.20 | 44837 | 24723 | 27243 | 28741 | -39 | 11465 | 5519 | 6189 | 6666 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.21 | 44837 | 25835 | 28250 | 29647 | -36 | 11465 | 5799 | 6446 | 6896 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.22 | 44837 | 26959 | 29231 | 30476 | -33 | 11465 | 6053 | 6690 | 7189 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.23 | 44837 | 28072 | 30205 | 31262 | -31 | 11465 | 6305 | 6911 | 7437 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.24 | 44837 | 29172 | 31153 | 32030 | -28 | 11465 | 6552 | 7089 | 7693 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.25 | 44837 | 30271 | 32063 | 32739 | -25 | 11465 | 6794 | 7332 | 7959 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.26 | 44837 | 31353 | 32959 | 33443 | -22 | 11465 | 7045 | 7519 | 8202 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.27 | 44837 | 32431 | 33821 | 34088 | -20 | 11465 | 7289 | 7713 | 8418 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.28 | 44837 | 33495 | 34652 | 34683 | -17 | 11465 | 7536 | 7904 | 8671 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.29 | 44837 | 34546 | 35464 | 35262 | -15 | 11465 | 7785 | 8091 | 8923 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.30 | 44837 | 35590 | 36250 | 35799 | -12 | 11465 | 8033 | 8287 | 9196 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.31 | 44837 | 36631 | 37026 | 36327 | -9 | 11465 | 8272 | 8479 | 9415 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.32 | 44837 | 37663 | 37769 | 36835 | -7 | 11465 | 8508 | 8665 | 9679 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.33 | 44837 | 38691 | 38465 | 37311 | -4 | 11465 | 8740 | 8896 | 9844 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.34 | 44837 | 39700 | 39157 | 37728 | -2 | 11465 | 8970 | 9093 | 10029 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.35 | 44837 | 40702 | 39855 | 38123 | 1 | 11465 | 9205 | 9268 | 10224 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.36 | 44837 | 41700 | 40493 | 38487 | 3 | 11465 | 9431 | 9510 | 10468 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.37 | 44837 | 42710 | 41126 | 38868 | 6 | 11465 | 9643 | 9694 | 10663 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.38 | 44837 | 43702 | 41743 | 39235 | 8 | 11465 | 9862 | 9872 | 10862 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.39 | 44837 | 44671 | 42327 | 39623 | 11 | 11465 | 10096 | 10112 | 10999 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.40 | 44837 | 45612 | 42900 | 39989 | 13 | 11465 | 10347 | 10276 | 11098 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.41 | 44837 | 46551 | 43421 | 40320 | 15 | 11465 | 10589 | 10474 | 11221 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.42 | 44837 | 47495 | 43954 | 40613 | 18 | 11465 | 10816 | 10655 | 11392 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.43 | 44837 | 48439 | 44463 | 40861 | 20 | 11465 | 11030 | 10870 | 11558 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.44 | 44837 | 49371 | 44943 | 41148 | 22 | 11465 | 11253 | 11077 | 11683 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.45 | 44837 | 50283 | 45392 | 41410 | 24 | 11465 | 11478 | 11320 | 11826 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.46 | 44837 | 51212 | 45836 | 41620 | 27 | 11465 | 11668 | 11577 | 12031 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.47 | 44837 | 52118 | 46306 | 41819 | 29 | 11465 | 11875 | 11762 | 12242 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.48 | 44837 | 53023 | 46759 | 41991 | 31 | 11465 | 12090 | 11878 | 12457 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.49 | 44837 | 53909 | 47168 | 42216 | 33 | 11465 | 12325 | 12041 | 12519 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |
Fsq, 0.50 | 44837 | 54798 | 47591 | 42401 | 36 | 11465 | 12538 | 12217 | 12561 | 196025 | 196025 | 201793 | 196025 |