Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 | C19 |
Fsq, EU MP | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 156478 | 170392 | 179390 | 180673 | 182472 | 5 | 55417 | 60114 | 57720 | 55868 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 156478 | 170392 | 187144 | 187298 | 187821 | 10 | 55417 | 53085 | 60128 | 57518 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 156478 | 170392 | 189300 | 199633 | 208947 | 11 | 55417 | 50958 | 51539 | 51641 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 156478 | 170392 | 246134 | 328306 | 422014 | 44 | 55417 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 156478 | 170392 | 189300 | 199633 | 208947 | 11 | 55417 | 50958 | 51539 | 51641 |
Fsq, TAC15 -20% | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 156478 | 170392 | 190963 | 206865 | 223195 | 12 | 55417 | 48456 | 47441 | 47170 |
Fsq, TAC15 -15% | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 156478 | 170392 | 187702 | 199739 | 210840 | 10 | 55417 | 51494 | 50496 | 50314 |
Fsq, TAC15 -10% | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 156478 | 170392 | 184367 | 192531 | 198310 | 8 | 55417 | 54542 | 53574 | 53499 |
Fsq, TAC15 -5% | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 156478 | 170392 | 181163 | 185384 | 186322 | 6 | 55417 | 57585 | 56640 | 56722 |
Fsq, TAC15 all years | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 156478 | 170392 | 177939 | 178041 | 174401 | 4 | 55417 | 60629 | 59757 | 60012 |
Fsq, TAC15 +5% | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 156478 | 170392 | 174622 | 170576 | 162023 | 2 | 55417 | 63672 | 62908 | 63378 |
Fsq, TAC15 +10% | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 156478 | 170392 | 171121 | 163211 | 149706 | 0 | 55417 | 66724 | 66069 | 66788 |
Fsq, TAC15 +15% | 0.38 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 156478 | 170392 | 167767 | 155849 | 137658 | -2 | 55417 | 69775 | 69243 | 70307 |
Fsq, TAC15 +20% | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 156478 | 170392 | 164510 | 148518 | 125784 | -3 | 55417 | 72826 | 72439 | 73905 |
Fsq all years | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 156478 | 170392 | 181400 | 184663 | 187797 | 6 | 55417 | 58166 | 56452 | 55080 |