Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 |
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F2016=TAC, then Fmult=0.95 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 2445 | 2814 | 2924 | 4 | 391 | 412 | 493 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy advice rule | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 2445 | 2814 | 2919 | 4 | 391 | 417 | 476 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy lower | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2989 | 6 | 391 | 351 | 273 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy upper | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2936 | 4 | 391 | 401 | 267 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy lower(AR) | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2989 | 6 | 391 | 351 | 273 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy upper(AR) | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2876 | 2 | 391 | 466 | 259 |
F2016=TAC, SSB2018 = Bpa | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 2445 | 2814 | 2685 | -5 | 391 | 649 | 687 |
F2016=TAC, then zero catch | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2445 | 2814 | 3346 | 19 | 391 | 0 | 0 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.01 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2971 | 6 | 391 | 368 | 271 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2953 | 5 | 391 | 384 | 269 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Flower differing by 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2936 | 4 | 391 | 401 | 267 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2904 | 3 | 391 | 434 | 263 |
F2016=TAC, then MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.01 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2890 | 3 | 391 | 450 | 261 |
F2016=TAC, then F2016 × 0.5 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 3119 | 11 | 391 | 220 | 288 |
F2016=TAC, then Fsq (F2016) | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2919 | 4 | 391 | 417 | 265 |
F2016=TAC, then Fmsy | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2919 | 4 | 391 | 417 | 265 |
F2016=TAC,then −15% TAC | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 2445 | 2814 | 3007 | 7 | 391 | 333 | 412 |
F2016=TAC,then 0% change TAC | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 2445 | 2814 | 2947 | 5 | 391 | 391 | 521 |
F2016=TAC,then +15% TAC | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2445 | 2814 | 2890 | 3 | 391 | 450 | 506 |
F2016=TAC, then Flim | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 2445 | 2814 | 2784 | -1 | 391 | 551 | 248 |
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