Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | Fbar20 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C18 | C19 | C20 |
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Fstatus quo, then FMSY | 0.267 | 0.358 | 0.358 | 305137 | 339997 | 334963 | -1.481 | 101522 | 139978 | 136023 |
Fstatus quo, then zero catch | 0.267 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 305137 | 339997 | 475333 | 39.805 | 101522 | 0 | 0 |
Fstatus quo, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.267 | 0.403 | 0.403 | 305137 | 339997 | 320712 | -5.672 | 101522 | 154490 | 144719 |
Fstatus quo, then Flim | 0.267 | 0.564 | 0.564 | 305137 | 339997 | 274466 | -19.274 | 101522 | 201664 | 166616 |
Fstatus quo, then SSB2020 = Blim 107 000 | 0.267 | 1.581 | 1.581 | 305137 | 339997 | 107000 | -68.529 | 101522 | 383055 | 163142 |
Fstatus quo, then Bpa 150 000 | 0.267 | 1.206 | 1.206 | 305137 | 339997 | 150000 | -55.882 | 101522 | 334056 | 176486 |
Fstatus quo, then BTrigger 150 000 | 0.267 | 1.206 | 1.206 | 305137 | 339997 | 150000 | -55.882 | 101522 | 334056 | 176486 |
Fstatus quo, then F2018 | 0.267 | 0.267 | 0.267 | 305137 | 339997 | 365832 | 7.599 | 101522 | 108758 | 113845 |
Fstatus quo, then TAC 2018 | 0.267 | 0.287 | 0.278 | 305137 | 339997 | 358570 | 5.463 | 101522 | 116008 | 116008 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY lower (w/o Btrig) | 0.267 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 305137 | 339997 | 385352 | 13.340 | 101522 | 88908 | 97331 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY upper (curtailed to FP.05AR) | 0.267 | 0.492 | 0.492 | 305137 | 339997 | 294229 | -13.461 | 101522 | 181445 | 158321 |
Fstatus quo, then FMSY lower (w Btrig) | 0.267 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 305137 | 339997 | 386491 | 13.675 | 101522 | 87775 | 96326 |
Fstatus quo, then F in 0.01 steps | 0.267 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 305137 | 339997 | 382700 | 12.560 | 101522 | 91537 | 99626 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 305137 | 339997 | 379054 | 11.488 | 101522 | 95264 | 102830 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 305137 | 339997 | 375468 | 10.433 | 101522 | 98957 | 105930 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 305137 | 339997 | 371827 | 9.362 | 101522 | 102617 | 108942 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 305137 | 339997 | 368286 | 8.321 | 101522 | 106241 | 111855 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 305137 | 339997 | 364777 | 7.288 | 101522 | 109831 | 114680 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 305137 | 339997 | 361247 | 6.250 | 101522 | 113380 | 117458 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 305137 | 339997 | 357684 | 5.202 | 101522 | 116892 | 120100 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 305137 | 339997 | 354265 | 4.197 | 101522 | 120370 | 122696 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 305137 | 339997 | 350884 | 3.202 | 101522 | 123820 | 125174 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 305137 | 339997 | 347503 | 2.208 | 101522 | 127253 | 127589 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 305137 | 339997 | 344170 | 1.228 | 101522 | 130650 | 129910 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 305137 | 339997 | 340848 | 0.251 | 101522 | 134012 | 132202 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 305137 | 339997 | 337558 | -0.717 | 101522 | 137337 | 134369 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 305137 | 339997 | 334326 | -1.668 | 101522 | 140636 | 136428 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 305137 | 339997 | 331132 | -2.607 | 101522 | 143908 | 138433 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 305137 | 339997 | 327971 | -3.537 | 101522 | 147147 | 140393 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 305137 | 339997 | 324834 | -4.459 | 101522 | 150355 | 142330 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 305137 | 339997 | 321650 | -5.396 | 101522 | 153538 | 144188 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 305137 | 339997 | 318534 | -6.313 | 101522 | 156702 | 145947 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 305137 | 339997 | 315429 | -7.226 | 101522 | 159835 | 147637 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 305137 | 339997 | 312358 | -8.129 | 101522 | 162928 | 149281 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 305137 | 339997 | 309341 | -9.016 | 101522 | 165986 | 150907 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 305137 | 339997 | 306362 | -9.893 | 101522 | 169009 | 152483 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 305137 | 339997 | 303393 | -10.766 | 101522 | 172004 | 153984 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 305137 | 339997 | 300489 | -11.620 | 101522 | 174988 | 155393 |
Fstatus quo, then | 0.267 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 305137 | 339997 | 297611 | -12.466 | 101522 | 177943 | 156759 |
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