Table X1. Forecasts, all values - for checking purposes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | FBar 2017 | FBar 2018 | FBar 2019 | SSB 2017 | SSB 2018 | SSB 2019 | C 2017 | C 2018 | C 2019 | L 2017 | L 2018 | L 2019 | Fbar 2017 | Fbar 2018 | Fbar 2019 | Rec 2016 | Rec 2017 | Age 2 2017 | Rec 2018 | Rec 2019 | % prob(SSB bl. Blim) | 5% percentile of SSB | % SSB change | % TAC change |
F= 0 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 6746334 | 7948566 | 8690681 | 4681 | 6820 | 8844 | 4681 | 6820 | 8844 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 8690681 | 17.8 | |
F= 0.05 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 6746334 | 7731773 | 8171701 | 229725 | 322328 | 400252 | 229725 | 322328 | 400252 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 8171701 | 14.6 | |
F= 0.10 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 6746334 | 7519050 | 7684669 | 450907 | 609392 | 725060 | 450907 | 609392 | 725060 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7684669 | 11.5 | |
F= 0.11 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 6746334 | 7477498 | 7592040 | 494156 | 662920 | 782182 | 494156 | 662920 | 782182 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7592040 | 10.8 | |
F= 0.12 | 0.120 | 0.120 | 0.120 | 6746334 | 7436268 | 7500928 | 537083 | 715222 | 836918 | 537083 | 715222 | 836918 | 0.120 | 0.120 | 0.120 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7500928 | 10.2 | |
F= 0.13 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 6746334 | 7395358 | 7411302 | 579691 | 766325 | 889358 | 579691 | 766325 | 889358 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7411302 | 9.6 | |
F= 0.14 | 0.140 | 0.140 | 0.140 | 6746334 | 7354763 | 7323133 | 621984 | 816256 | 939588 | 621984 | 816256 | 939588 | 0.140 | 0.140 | 0.140 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7323133 | 9.0 | |
F= 0.15 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 6746334 | 7314482 | 7236391 | 663966 | 865042 | 987690 | 663966 | 865042 | 987690 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 0.150 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7236391 | 8.4 | |
F= 0.16 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 6746334 | 7274511 | 7151047 | 705638 | 912707 | 1033744 | 705638 | 912707 | 1033744 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7151047 | 7.8 | |
F= 0.17 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 6746334 | 7234847 | 7067075 | 747003 | 959278 | 1077826 | 747003 | 959278 | 1077826 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 7067075 | 7.2 | |
F= 0.18 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 6746334 | 7195487 | 6984446 | 788066 | 1004778 | 1120009 | 788066 | 1004778 | 1120009 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6984446 | 6.7 | |
F= 0.19 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 6746334 | 7156427 | 6903134 | 828829 | 1049232 | 1160364 | 828829 | 1049232 | 1160364 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6903134 | 6.1 | |
F= 0.20 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 6746334 | 7117665 | 6823114 | 869295 | 1092662 | 1198958 | 869295 | 1092662 | 1198958 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6823114 | 5.5 | |
F= 0.21 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 6746334 | 7079198 | 6744360 | 909466 | 1135091 | 1235857 | 909466 | 1135091 | 1235857 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6744360 | 4.9 | |
F= 0.22 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 6746334 | 7041023 | 6666847 | 949346 | 1176541 | 1271122 | 949346 | 1176541 | 1271122 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6666847 | 4.4 | |
F= 0.23 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 6746334 | 7003136 | 6590551 | 988937 | 1217034 | 1304815 | 988937 | 1217034 | 1304815 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6590551 | 3.8 | |
F= 0.24 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 6746334 | 6965536 | 6515449 | 1028243 | 1256590 | 1336993 | 1028243 | 1256590 | 1336993 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6515449 | 3.2 | |
F= 0.25 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 6746334 | 6928220 | 6441518 | 1067266 | 1295231 | 1367711 | 1067266 | 1295231 | 1367711 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6441518 | 2.7 | |
F= 0.26 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 6746334 | 6891183 | 6368735 | 1106008 | 1332975 | 1397024 | 1106008 | 1332975 | 1397024 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6368735 | 2.1 | |
F= 0.27 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 6746334 | 6854425 | 6297078 | 1144472 | 1369844 | 1424983 | 1144472 | 1369844 | 1424983 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6297078 | 1.6 | |
F= 0.28 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 6746334 | 6817941 | 6226526 | 1182662 | 1405854 | 1451637 | 1182662 | 1405854 | 1451637 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6226526 | 1.1 | |
F= 0.29 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 6746334 | 6781730 | 6157057 | 1220579 | 1441026 | 1477034 | 1220579 | 1441026 | 1477034 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6157057 | 0.5 | |
F= 0.3 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 6746334 | 6745789 | 6088652 | 1258226 | 1475377 | 1501220 | 1258226 | 1475377 | 1501220 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6088652 | -0.0 | |
F= 0.31 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 6746334 | 6710115 | 6021290 | 1295606 | 1508925 | 1524239 | 1295606 | 1508925 | 1524239 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 6021290 | -0.5 | |
F= 0.32 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 6746334 | 6674706 | 5954952 | 1332722 | 1541687 | 1546134 | 1332722 | 1541687 | 1546134 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5954952 | -1.1 | |
F= 0.33 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 6746334 | 6639558 | 5889619 | 1369575 | 1573680 | 1566946 | 1369575 | 1573680 | 1566946 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5889619 | -1.6 | |
F= 0.34 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 6746334 | 6604670 | 5825271 | 1406169 | 1604921 | 1586714 | 1406169 | 1604921 | 1586714 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5825271 | -2.1 | |
F= 0.35 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 6746334 | 6570039 | 5761892 | 1442505 | 1635424 | 1605476 | 1442505 | 1635424 | 1605476 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5761892 | -2.6 | |
F= 0.36 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 6746334 | 6535663 | 5699462 | 1478587 | 1665208 | 1623270 | 1478587 | 1665208 | 1623270 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5699462 | -3.1 | |
F= 0.37 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 6746334 | 6501539 | 5637964 | 1514415 | 1694285 | 1640129 | 1514415 | 1694285 | 1640129 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5637964 | -3.6 | |
F= 0.38 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 6746334 | 6467664 | 5577381 | 1549994 | 1722672 | 1656089 | 1549994 | 1722672 | 1656089 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5577381 | -4.1 | |
F= 0.39 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 6746334 | 6434037 | 5517697 | 1585325 | 1750383 | 1671182 | 1585325 | 1750383 | 1671182 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5517697 | -4.6 | |
F= 0.40 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 6746334 | 6400654 | 5458895 | 1620411 | 1777432 | 1685439 | 1620411 | 1777432 | 1685439 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5458895 | -5.1 | |
F= 0.41 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 6746334 | 6367515 | 5400959 | 1655253 | 1803834 | 1698891 | 1655253 | 1803834 | 1698891 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5400959 | -5.6 | |
F= 0.42 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 6746334 | 6334615 | 5343874 | 1689855 | 1829601 | 1711568 | 1689855 | 1829601 | 1711568 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5343874 | -6.1 | |
F= 0.43 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 6746334 | 6301954 | 5287624 | 1724217 | 1854747 | 1723497 | 1724217 | 1854747 | 1723497 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5287624 | -6.6 | |
F= 0.44 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 6746334 | 6269529 | 5232193 | 1758343 | 1879286 | 1734706 | 1758343 | 1879286 | 1734706 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5232193 | -7.1 | |
F= 0.45 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 6746334 | 6237337 | 5177569 | 1792235 | 1903229 | 1745222 | 1792235 | 1903229 | 1745222 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5177569 | -7.5 | |
F= 0.46 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 6746334 | 6205377 | 5123736 | 1825894 | 1926589 | 1755069 | 1825894 | 1926589 | 1755069 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5123736 | -8.0 | |
F= 0.47 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 6746334 | 6173646 | 5070680 | 1859323 | 1949379 | 1764272 | 1859323 | 1949379 | 1764272 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5070680 | -8.5 | |
F= 0.48 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 6746334 | 6142142 | 5018387 | 1892525 | 1971610 | 1772855 | 1892525 | 1971610 | 1772855 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 5018387 | -9.0 | |
F= 0.49 | 0.490 | 0.490 | 0.490 | 6746334 | 6110863 | 4966844 | 1925500 | 1993294 | 1780840 | 1925500 | 1993294 | 1780840 | 0.490 | 0.490 | 0.490 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4966844 | -9.4 | |
F= 0.50 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 6746334 | 6079807 | 4916038 | 1958251 | 2014441 | 1788250 | 1958251 | 2014441 | 1788250 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4916038 | -9.9 | |
F= 0.51 | 0.510 | 0.510 | 0.510 | 6746334 | 6048973 | 4865956 | 1990781 | 2035064 | 1795105 | 1990781 | 2035064 | 1795105 | 0.510 | 0.510 | 0.510 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4865956 | -10.3 | |
F= 0.52 | 0.520 | 0.520 | 0.520 | 6746334 | 6018357 | 4816585 | 2023090 | 2055173 | 1801426 | 2023090 | 2055173 | 1801426 | 0.520 | 0.520 | 0.520 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4816585 | -10.8 | |
F= 0.53 | 0.530 | 0.530 | 0.530 | 6746334 | 5987957 | 4767914 | 2055182 | 2074778 | 1807233 | 2055182 | 2074778 | 1807233 | 0.530 | 0.530 | 0.530 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4767914 | -11.2 | |
F= 0.54 | 0.540 | 0.540 | 0.540 | 6746334 | 5957773 | 4719929 | 2087058 | 2093890 | 1812545 | 2087058 | 2093890 | 1812545 | 0.540 | 0.540 | 0.540 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4719929 | -11.7 | |
F= 0.55 | 0.550 | 0.550 | 0.550 | 6746334 | 5927802 | 4672619 | 2118719 | 2112519 | 1817379 | 2118719 | 2112519 | 1817379 | 0.550 | 0.550 | 0.550 | 41154598 | 15059761 | 21808405 | 15059761 | 15059761 | 0.000 | 4672619 | -12.1 | |