Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
|
Description\Variable | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | Fbar20 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C18 | C19 | C20 |
|
TAC constraint, then FMSY | 0.300 | 0.358 | 0.358 | 305137 | 328721 | 326148 | -0.783 | 112502 | 136256 | 133131 |
TAC constraint, then zero catch | 0.300 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 305137 | 328721 | 463122 | 40.886 | 112502 | 0 | 0 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.300 | 0.403 | 0.403 | 305137 | 328721 | 312280 | -5.002 | 112502 | 150351 | 141697 |
TAC constraint, then Flim | 0.300 | 0.564 | 0.564 | 305137 | 328721 | 267405 | -18.653 | 112502 | 196249 | 163382 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2020 = Blim 107 000 | 0.300 | 1.556 | 1.556 | 305137 | 328721 | 107000 | -67.450 | 112502 | 370316 | 162474 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2020 = Bpa 150 000 | 0.300 | 1.180 | 1.180 | 305137 | 328721 | 150000 | -54.369 | 112502 | 321530 | 174414 |
TAC constraint, then F2018 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 305137 | 328721 | 345142 | 4.996 | 112502 | 117158 | 119992 |
TAC constraint, TAC 2018 | 0.300 | 0.285 | 0.272 | 305137 | 328721 | 351163 | 6.827 | 112502 | 111360 | 111065 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (w AR) | 0.300 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 305137 | 328721 | 375768 | 14.312 | 112502 | 86510 | 95242 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy upper (w AR) | 0.300 | 0.492 | 0.492 | 305137 | 328721 | 286677 | -12.790 | 112502 | 176541 | 155227 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (wo AR) | 0.300 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 305137 | 328721 | 376886 | 14.652 | 112502 | 85408 | 94266 |
TAC constraint, then F in 0.01 steps | 0.300 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 305137 | 328721 | 373173 | 13.523 | 112502 | 89069 | 97495 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 305137 | 328721 | 369517 | 12.411 | 112502 | 92706 | 100605 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 305137 | 328721 | 365925 | 11.318 | 112502 | 96304 | 103630 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 305137 | 328721 | 362392 | 10.243 | 112502 | 99865 | 106564 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 305137 | 328721 | 358848 | 9.165 | 112502 | 103392 | 109426 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 305137 | 328721 | 355423 | 8.123 | 112502 | 106881 | 112215 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 305137 | 328721 | 351972 | 7.073 | 112502 | 110336 | 114865 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 305137 | 328721 | 348471 | 6.008 | 112502 | 113758 | 117486 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 305137 | 328721 | 345142 | 4.996 | 112502 | 117158 | 119992 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 305137 | 328721 | 341803 | 3.980 | 112502 | 120526 | 122402 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 305137 | 328721 | 338569 | 2.996 | 112502 | 123855 | 124807 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 305137 | 328721 | 335189 | 1.968 | 112502 | 127165 | 127112 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 305137 | 328721 | 331812 | 0.940 | 112502 | 130447 | 129326 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 305137 | 328721 | 328583 | -0.042 | 112502 | 133694 | 131482 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 305137 | 328721 | 325542 | -0.967 | 112502 | 136893 | 133551 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 305137 | 328721 | 322461 | -1.904 | 112502 | 140064 | 135542 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 305137 | 328721 | 319346 | -2.852 | 112502 | 143216 | 137484 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 305137 | 328721 | 316256 | -3.792 | 112502 | 146331 | 139353 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 305137 | 328721 | 313197 | -4.722 | 112502 | 149427 | 141170 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 305137 | 328721 | 310154 | -5.648 | 112502 | 152489 | 142922 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 305137 | 328721 | 307249 | -6.532 | 112502 | 155526 | 144596 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 305137 | 328721 | 304331 | -7.419 | 112502 | 158521 | 146197 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 305137 | 328721 | 301414 | -8.307 | 112502 | 161485 | 147799 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 305137 | 328721 | 298502 | -9.193 | 112502 | 164436 | 149325 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 305137 | 328721 | 295644 | -10.062 | 112502 | 167359 | 150813 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 305137 | 328721 | 292797 | -10.928 | 112502 | 170255 | 152269 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.300 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 305137 | 328721 | 289970 | -11.788 | 112502 | 173133 | 153613 |
|