Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 |
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Fpa | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 951537 | 1026969 | 1060006 | 3 | 123143 | 65023 | 68420 |
Flim | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 951537 | 1022745 | 1027183 | 0 | 123143 | 91715 | 93919 |
MSY Flower(AR) | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 951537 | 1021340 | 1016873 | -0 | 123143 | 100469 | 101826 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 951537 | 1019927 | 1007315 | -1 | 123143 | 109144 | 109428 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 951537 | 1018548 | 997789 | -2 | 123143 | 117690 | 117118 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 951537 | 1017192 | 988262 | -3 | 123143 | 126170 | 124638 |
Fmsy=0.15=MSY Fupper | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 951537 | 1015837 | 978829 | -4 | 123143 | 134556 | 131782 |
MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 951537 | 1014484 | 968961 | -4 | 123143 | 142807 | 138876 |
MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 951537 | 1013133 | 959158 | -5 | 123143 | 151069 | 145803 |
MSY Fupper(AR) | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 951537 | 1011784 | 949517 | -6 | 123143 | 159144 | 152464 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 951537 | 1015837 | 978829 | -4 | 123143 | 134556 | 131782 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy_new_upper | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 951537 | 1019927 | 1007315 | -1 | 123143 | 109144 | 109428 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy_lower | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 951537 | 1024151 | 1038902 | 1 | 123143 | 82860 | 85764 |
Fsq all years | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 951537 | 1016434 | 983268 | -3 | 123143 | 130879 | 128573 |
Fsq, then zero catch | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 951537 | 1036937 | 1134714 | 9 | 123143 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then F = 0.2 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 951537 | 1009092 | 932422 | -8 | 123143 | 175527 | 164949 |
Fsq, then FMult=0 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 951537 | 1036937 | 1134714 | 9 | 123143 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,1 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 951537 | 1014464 | 968825 | -4 | 123143 | 142929 | 138981 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,2 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 951537 | 1012498 | 954432 | -6 | 123143 | 154907 | 148941 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,3 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 951537 | 1010536 | 941554 | -7 | 123143 | 166762 | 158546 |
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