Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 | C19 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 18272 | 20427 | 19064 | 17774 | 16398 | -7 | 3772 | 8333 | 7825 | 7382 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 0.17 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 18272 | 20427 | 15326 | 11776 | 9253 | -25 | 3772 | 13667 | 10392 | 8587 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18272 | 20427 | 25251 | 30132 | 35068 | 24 | 3772 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then 50% | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 18272 | 20427 | 23725 | 26585 | 29246 | 16 | 3772 | 2164 | 2493 | 2719 |
Fsq, -20% Advice | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 18272 | 20427 | 20137 | 19498 | 18593 | -1 | 3772 | 6911 | 6911 | 6911 |
Fsq all years | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20427 | 22168 | 23465 | 24391 | 9 | 3772 | 4170 | 4511 | 4702 |
Fsq, then F2015 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20427 | 22212 | 23559 | 24521 | 9 | 3772 | 4110 | 4453 | 4647 |
Fsq, +20% Advice | 0.17 | 0.48 | 0.58 | 0.73 | 18272 | 20427 | 17623 | 14298 | 10666 | -14 | 3772 | 10367 | 10367 | 10367 |
Fsq, then Flim | 0.17 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 18272 | 20427 | 12584 | 8135 | 5629 | -38 | 3772 | 17658 | 11213 | 8225 |
Fsq, then Bpa | 0.17 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 18272 | 20427 | 5558 | 2116 | 1336 | -73 | 3772 | 28023 | 9067 | 4932 |
Fsq, then MSY Btrigger | 0.17 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 18272 | 20427 | 5558 | 2116 | 1336 | -73 | 3772 | 28023 | 9067 | 4932 |
Fsq, then Blim | 0.17 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 18272 | 20427 | 4479 | 1497 | 1066 | -78 | 3772 | 29724 | 8160 | 4258 |
Fsq, Same advice | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 18272 | 20427 | 18841 | 16950 | 14641 | -8 | 3772 | 8639 | 8639 | 8639 |