Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar15 | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB15 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB % change | C15 | C16 | C17 | C18 |
Fsq, EU MP | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 110456 | 120500 | 146810 | 162754 | 169142 | 22 | 55478 | 42996 | 49757 | 58717 |
Fsq, EU Norway | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 110456 | 120500 | 156291 | 185839 | 209558 | 30 | 55478 | 34827 | 40119 | 47042 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 110456 | 120500 | 164653 | 193440 | 216027 | 37 | 55478 | 27851 | 42126 | 49111 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110456 | 120500 | 197178 | 282852 | 375157 | 64 | 55478 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.45 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 110456 | 120500 | 158729 | 188045 | 211628 | 32 | 55478 | 32724 | 40736 | 47886 |
Fsq, TAC15 -20% | 0.45 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 110456 | 120500 | 157494 | 195926 | 238877 | 31 | 55478 | 33626 | 32385 | 31547 |
Fsq, TAC15 -15% | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 110456 | 120500 | 155211 | 190323 | 230287 | 29 | 55478 | 35737 | 34453 | 33585 |
Fsq, TAC15 -10% | 0.45 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 110456 | 120500 | 152963 | 184925 | 221659 | 27 | 55478 | 37853 | 36535 | 35641 |
Fsq, TAC15 -5% | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 110456 | 120500 | 150552 | 179394 | 212479 | 25 | 55478 | 39970 | 38618 | 37706 |
Fsq, TAC15 all years | 0.45 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 110456 | 120500 | 148146 | 173955 | 203444 | 23 | 55478 | 42092 | 40716 | 39796 |
Fsq, TAC15 +5% | 0.45 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 110456 | 120500 | 145608 | 168588 | 194750 | 21 | 55478 | 44211 | 42816 | 41904 |
Fsq, TAC15 +10% | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 110456 | 120500 | 143114 | 163109 | 186437 | 19 | 55478 | 46330 | 44925 | 44039 |
Fsq, TAC15 +15% | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 110456 | 120500 | 140721 | 157732 | 177369 | 17 | 55478 | 48450 | 47050 | 46182 |
Fsq, TAC15 +20% | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 110456 | 120500 | 138289 | 152234 | 168654 | 15 | 55478 | 50573 | 49182 | 48365 |
Fsq all years | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 110456 | 120500 | 127431 | 125933 | 123357 | 6 | 55478 | 60165 | 60613 | 60254 |