| Probability SSB < Blim=220000 | ||||
| Scenario Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| SQ all years | 0.001 | 0.095 | 0.275 | 0.200 |
| SQ then zero | 0.001 | 0.095 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 2026 official quota advice | 0.001 | 0.029 | 0.040 | 0.010 |
| 2026 Russian alternative HCR proposal | 0.001 | 0.029 | 0.092 | 0.049 |
| 2026 Average of official and Russian fishing level | 0.001 | 0.029 | 0.064 | 0.028 |