Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar15 | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB15 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB % change | C15 | C16 | C17 | C18 |
Fsq all years | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 16577 | 17641 | 18233 | 18621 | 19073 | 3 | 3982 | 3798 | 3989 | 4412 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 0.20 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 16577 | 17453 | 15965 | 14525 | 13456 | -9 | 4257 | 6763 | 6290 | 6445 |
Fsq, then Fmsy lower | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 16577 | 17641 | 18033 | 18148 | 18491 | 2 | 3982 | 4112 | 4266 | 4674 |
Fsq, then Fmsy upper | 0.19 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 16577 | 17641 | 13556 | 10709 | 8482 | -23 | 3982 | 10406 | 8225 | 7587 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 0.19 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 16577 | 17641 | 13220 | 10218 | 7922 | -25 | 3982 | 10904 | 8428 | 7644 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16577 | 17641 | 20920 | 24408 | 28396 | 19 | 3982 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then 50% | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 16577 | 17641 | 19550 | 21276 | 23247 | 11 | 3982 | 1990 | 2229 | 2583 |
Fsq, -15% Advice L | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 16577 | 17641 | 16300 | 14709 | 13615 | -8 | 3982 | 6586 | 6537 | 6473 |
Fsq, +15% Advice L | 0.19 | 0.51 | 0.63 | 0.73 | 16577 | 17641 | 14619 | 11402 | 8361 | -17 | 3982 | 8922 | 8851 | 8845 |
Fsq, then old advice L | 0.19 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 16577 | 17641 | 15465 | 13058 | 11004 | -12 | 3982 | 7757 | 7704 | 7642 |