Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 | C19 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 18272 | 20427 | 19064 | 17774 | 16398 | -7 | 3772 | 8333 | 7825 | 7382 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 0.17 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 18272 | 20427 | 15326 | 11776 | 9253 | -25 | 3772 | 13667 | 10392 | 8587 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18272 | 20427 | 25251 | 30132 | 35068 | 24 | 3772 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then 50% | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 18272 | 20427 | 23725 | 26585 | 29246 | 16 | 3772 | 2164 | 2493 | 2719 |
Fsq, -15% Advice L | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 18272 | 20427 | 21135 | 21691 | 22127 | 3 | 3772 | 5547 | 5391 | 5324 |
Fsq all years | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20427 | 22168 | 23465 | 24391 | 9 | 3772 | 4170 | 4511 | 4702 |
Fsq, then F2015 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20427 | 22212 | 23559 | 24521 | 9 | 3772 | 4110 | 4453 | 4647 |
Fsq, +15% Advice L | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 18272 | 20427 | 19697 | 18775 | 17518 | -4 | 3772 | 7492 | 7324 | 7257 |
Fsq, then Flim | 0.17 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 18272 | 20427 | 12584 | 8135 | 5629 | -38 | 3772 | 17658 | 11213 | 8225 |
Fsq, then Bpa | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 18272 | 20427 | 19711 | 18798 | 17554 | -4 | 3772 | 7475 | 7308 | 7243 |
Fsq, then MSY Btrigger | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 18272 | 20427 | 19711 | 18798 | 17554 | -4 | 3772 | 7475 | 7308 | 7243 |
Fsq, then Blim | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 18272 | 20427 | 20735 | 20935 | 20936 | 2 | 3772 | 6037 | 5882 | 5800 |