Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar15 | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB15 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB % change | C15 | C16 | C17 | C18 |
Fsq, then Fmsy | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 18272 | 20423 | 21905 | 19908 | 18095 | 7 | 3772 | 4397 | 8883 | 7989 |
Fsq, then Fpa | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 18272 | 20423 | 21905 | 15985 | 11947 | 7 | 3772 | 4397 | 14518 | 10564 |
Fsq, then ~zero | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18272 | 20423 | 21905 | 26396 | 30933 | 7 | 3772 | 4397 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then 50% | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 18272 | 20423 | 23649 | 26472 | 28883 | 16 | 3772 | 2161 | 2479 | 2691 |
Fsq, -15% Advice L | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 18272 | 20423 | 21069 | 21542 | 21724 | 3 | 3772 | 5539 | 5382 | 5310 |
Fsq all years | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20423 | 22093 | 23247 | 24126 | 8 | 3772 | 4166 | 4478 | 4645 |
Fsq, then F2015 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 18272 | 20423 | 22138 | 23358 | 24282 | 8 | 3772 | 4105 | 4421 | 4593 |
Fsq, +15% Advice L | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 18272 | 20423 | 19605 | 18596 | 17261 | -4 | 3772 | 7493 | 7274 | 7233 |
Fsq, then Flim | 0.17 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 18272 | 20423 | 12549 | 8058 | 5506 | -39 | 3772 | 17647 | 11105 | 8097 |
Fsq, then Bpa | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 18272 | 20423 | 19617 | 18619 | 17299 | -4 | 3772 | 7476 | 7258 | 7213 |
Fsq, then MSY Btrigger | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 18272 | 20423 | 19617 | 18619 | 17299 | -4 | 3772 | 7476 | 7258 | 7213 |
Fsq, then Blim | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 18272 | 20423 | 20706 | 20719 | 20614 | 1 | 3772 | 6033 | 5847 | 5795 |