Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) | ||||||||||||||
Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB20 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 | C19 |
Fsq, EU MP | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 169261 | 176299 | 171971 | 168267 | 162985 | -2 | 56962 | 55876 | 51685 | 48948 |
Fsq, EU-Norway | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 169261 | 176299 | 171971 | 168267 | 162985 | -2 | 56962 | 55876 | 51685 | 48948 |
Fsq, Fmsy HCR | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 169261 | 176299 | 181374 | 185027 | 185341 | 3 | 56962 | 47359 | 46112 | 45036 |
Fsq, zero catch | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 169261 | 176299 | 236794 | 299892 | 356630 | 34 | 56962 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, Fmsy | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 169261 | 176299 | 181374 | 185027 | 185341 | 3 | 56962 | 47359 | 46112 | 45036 |
Fsq, Fpa | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 169261 | 176299 | 170652 | 166166 | 160137 | -3 | 56962 | 57040 | 52392 | 49362 |
Fsq, Flim | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 169261 | 176299 | 149955 | 132551 | 120002 | -15 | 56962 | 75481 | 61568 | 54295 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Blim | 0.37 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 169261 | 176299 | 118000 | 88774 | 73717 | -33 | 56962 | 105033 | 69219 | 55548 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Bpa | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 169261 | 176299 | 165000 | 156600 | 148228 | -6 | 56962 | 61928 | 55208 | 51160 |
Fsq, SSB2018=Btrigger | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 169261 | 176299 | 165000 | 156600 | 148228 | -6 | 56962 | 61928 | 55208 | 51160 |
Fsq, TAC16 -20% | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 169261 | 176299 | 192162 | 204463 | 211131 | 9 | 56962 | 38404 | 39313 | 40286 |
Fsq, TAC16 -15% | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 169261 | 176299 | 189519 | 198587 | 202280 | 7 | 56962 | 40813 | 41844 | 42950 |
Fsq, TAC16 -10% | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 169261 | 176299 | 186772 | 192462 | 192448 | 6 | 56962 | 43224 | 44394 | 45633 |
Fsq, TAC16 -5% | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 169261 | 176299 | 184025 | 186436 | 183751 | 4 | 56962 | 45635 | 46951 | 48338 |
Fsq, TAC16 all years | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 169261 | 176299 | 181234 | 180418 | 174460 | 3 | 56962 | 48049 | 49517 | 51069 |
Fsq, TAC16 +5% | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 169261 | 176299 | 178427 | 174548 | 165199 | 1 | 56962 | 50465 | 52094 | 53858 |
Fsq, TAC16 +10% | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 169261 | 176299 | 175714 | 168533 | 156066 | -0 | 56962 | 52879 | 54685 | 56669 |
Fsq, TAC16 +15% | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 169261 | 176299 | 173027 | 162639 | 146886 | -2 | 56962 | 55295 | 57281 | 59528 |
Fsq, TAC16 +20% | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 169261 | 176299 | 170353 | 156576 | 137768 | -3 | 56962 | 57713 | 59906 | 62430 |
Fsq all years | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 169261 | 176299 | 175461 | 174146 | 170958 | -0 | 56962 | 52734 | 49726 | 47606 |